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Thursday, 2 May 2013

Does Your Heart Break For The Congressional Republican Leadership?

Posted on 14:00 by Ashish Chaturvedi

Yesterday there was a flurry of speculation that Texas' radical right extremist Ted Cruz, who was born in Canada and is ineligible to serve, would run for president in 2016. Intensely disliked and mistrusted in his own caucus, there are probably plenty of Republicans-- cognizant that no one is going to beat Hillary Clinton anyway-- who would be happy to see Cruz run, lose and be gone from the Senate. But 2016 isn't going to be a good year for Senate Republicans anyway. They have a lot of vulnerable seats to defend. A Ted Cruz candidacy would positively kill them.

Oh, Dick Shelby (R-AL), Mike Lee (R-UT), Jerry Moran (R-KS), John Thune (R-SD), Mike Crapo (R-ID), Johnny Isakson (R-GA), John Boozman (R-AR) and whichever crackpots they run in Oklahoma and South Carolina are probably safe. But there is likely to be an open Republican seat in Arizona (McCain) and Cruz on the top of the ticket is likely to shave between 5 and 10 points off these incumbents:
• Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)
• Chuck Grassley (R-IA)
• Marco Rubio (R-FL)
• Ron Johnson (R-WI)
• Rob Portman (R-OH)
• Pat Toomey (R-PA)
• Richard Burr (R-NC)
• Mark Kirk (R-IL)
Cruz on top of the ticket could also jeopardize reelection prospects for Rand Paul (R-KY), David Vitter (R-LA), Roy Blunt (R-MO), Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), and Dan Coats (R-IN). So... yeah, go, Ted, go! It could be historic.


Meanwhile, the House Republicans-- who would also suffer, though less so because of gerrymandered districts-- are undergoing a painful civil war between conservatives and neo-fascists. Jake Sherman at Politico would rather just describe it as chaos. The zombies are restless.
The GOP leadership is dealing with an unprecedented level of frustration in running the House, according to conversations with more than a dozen aides and lawmakers in and around leadership. Leadership is talking past each other. The conference is split by warring factions. And influential outside groups are fighting them.

The chaos has led to a sense of stalemate for House Republicans, who have been in the majority since 2011.

“There’s so much stuff happening up here that sometimes, you don’t pay attention to some of the more intricate details of something until it comes right to you,” said Rep. Lynn Westmoreland, a GOP whip from Georgia.

Speaker John Boehner, Cantor and McCarthy are plagued by a conference split into two groups. In one camp are stiff ideologues who didn’t extract any lesson from Mitt Romney’s loss and are only looking to slash spending and defund President Barack Obama’s health care law at every turn. In the other are lawmakers who are aligned with Cantor, who is almost singularly driving an agenda which is zeroed in on family issues.

Boehner seems more focused on passing big pieces of legislation like hiking the debt ceiling and extending government funding, sometimes drawing flak for having to rely on Democrats to move these bills over the finish line.

The House simply isn’t interested in the agendas being pushed by the president and Democratic Senate. Most Republicans aren’t looking for a big legislative push on gun control. GOP leaders are skeptical that they can arrive at a framework to negotiate a budget agreement with Senate Democrats. And tax reform and an immigration overhaul, while broadly supported, are still seen as long shots.

Members of leadership have trouble staying on the same page. Cantor is anxious to move on his agenda, but McCarthy needs to gather support in a House Republican Conference that’s filled with lawmakers constantly divided on leadership’s priorities.

...House Republicans have had worse days-- they had to abandon a tax plan pushed by Boehner in December, which was followed by a gaggle of rank-and-file members trying to prevent Boehner from serving a second term as speaker.

But the continued internal struggles illustrate a miniature picture of chaos. Despite all of House Republicans’ efforts to plot, plan and strategize to shift a divided Washington in their favor, hurdles have been difficult to avoid.

...With all the moving pieces, flubs on the floor and leadership intrigue, Chocola says he wonders why there are no challenges to the current leadership structure.

“I just think that the more kind of interesting thing to me is that even though there’s been some hiccups, there’s been violations of the Hastert rule, pulling things like [Boehner’s tax plan], to this, there’s like no opposition,” he said. “There’s no one that you hear about that will challenge current leadership. It’s assumed everyone will go up a step with Cantor and McCarthy. I’m not instigating it-- you never hear of any rumblings to the leadership.”
Steve Benen makes the case that it's even worse than that-- broken and beyond repair. "It's ugly," he wrote, "and it's getting worse... Clearly House Republicans are divided against themselves. There's no meaningful leadership; no interest in cooperation or compromise; and post-policy nihilism rules the day. The demise of Cantor's health care bill was a reminder that House Republicans will reject their own party's policy ideas with nearly the same speed as they'll reject Democratic ideas. For Beltway pundits, the inability of House Republicans to act like a governing caucus is partially President Obama's fault -- if only he'd schmooze with them, form personal relationships, and act like a character in an Aaron Sorkin movie, maybe these radicalized nihilists would be more likely to get something done. But all available evidence suggests the collapse of the House GOP is out of Obama's hands. The House Republican conference is simply broken."

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Blog Archive

  • ▼  2013 (500)
    • ►  July (35)
    • ►  June (150)
    • ▼  May (153)
      • Sunday Classics preview: Colin Davis's surprising ...
      • Israeli pols take the first step toward making the...
      • Joe Manchin-- Best Friend Of King Coal
      • DSCC Getting Its Dream Candidate, Joe Miller, Agai...
      • New Dem Patrick Murphy (FL) Is Asking For A Favor....
      • Back to work
      • A Government Of The Rich, By The Rich And, More Th...
      • Keystone XL Pipeline-- The Coming Catastrophe, Pol...
      • Rob Ford, The Canadian Chris Christie
      • What's Wrong With The Republican Party?
      • "Ballpark bipartisanship," Al Kamen calls it
      • Bronze Age Morals-- Roberto De Mattei Teaches Hatr...
      • Cheri Bustos Wants Help To Fend Off Teabagger Bobb...
      • How The DCCC Is Making Hay Of The GOP Vote To Forc...
      • Obama And Christie Cozy Up To Each Other Again In ...
      • Inequality Grows In Sweden-- And So Do Social Tens...
      • Saluting the president's "star litigatrix"
      • It Wouldn't Be Hard For The NRCC To Defeat A Pack ...
      • Blue America Welcomes Rep. Keith Ellison (D-MN)
      • Lindsey Graham's Homosexuality And... Syria
      • The Woolwich murderer, says Ian Welsh, is "a bad m...
      • Joe Crowley-- Making The Republican Party Look Les...
      • Grassroots Voters Need To Defeat The Wall Street-o...
      • Is Adam Schiff Changing His Tune-- Or Just Playing...
      • What Happens When Voters Just Eliminate The Nihili...
      • Economist Umair Haque Uses Twitter To Dissect Cons...
      • Just hope there's still room to book the Diaper Ma...
      • Buck McKeon's Family Opens A Defense Industry Lobb...
      • Sunday Classics: The young Colin Davis gets off to...
      • Mainstream Republican Conservatives Battle Tea Par...
      • TV Watch: A weary nation wonders, "Is 'Mr. Selfrid...
      • Sean Patrick Maloney: Pond Scum Of The Week
      • Someone Needs To Tell Obama There's A Great Democr...
      • Can The Democrats Retake The House Next Year?
      • Kicking Rich Freeloaders Off Agricultural Welfare
      • Sunday Classics preview: Memorable Mozart from the...
      • Re. the Boy Scouts' "compromise": Compromise with ...
      • Tesla-- I wonder What Libertarians Think Of The Au...
      • Republicans In Congress Hike The Cost Of Education...
      • GMO: No One Is Perfect-- Not Even Elizabeth Warren
      • Remember When Rahm Emanuel Was The Worst Thing Abo...
      • Who wouldn't pony up $12 for a beer imported all t...
      • Self-Loathing Closet Case Lindsey Graham Shafts Th...
      • Too Big To Fail Again
      • Does Your Congressman Want To Embroil The U.S. In ...
      • Tobacco Industry Lobbyists And P.R. Hacks Reinvent...
      • The stock-market "boom" may not be a bubble, but t...
      • Which Georgia Extremist Will Out-Extreme All The O...
      • Chris Christie Still Counting On New Jersey Voters...
      • The Ugly Republican Politics Behind Aid For Oklaho...
      • Stolen Valor-- How Will Mark Kirk Vote?
      • Don't cooks who acknowledge their kitchen bloopers...
      • Not Every Vulnerable Candidate Folds And Joins The...
      • Election Day In L.A.: Eric Garcetti Is The Better ...
      • Keystone XL Pipeline Gets It's Big House Vote Tomo...
      • Is America The Healthiest Country? Not By A Long Shot
      • Reliving the fight to stop the Stop Online Piracy ...
      • The New Humphrey-Hawkins Full Employment and Train...
      • Daylin Leach Has Been An Asset For Pennsylvania An...
      • Virginia Has A Sociopath Pushing Its Reactionary A...
      • Who Does Wall Street Own In Congress?
      • What are Boehner and his people doing about this "...
      • Midnight Train To Georgia-- Tbilisi Not Safe For T...
      • Sunday Classics: "Good night, thou false world!" -...
      • Have New Jersey Democrats Finally Found The Right ...
      • Republicans Move To Repay Wall Street For All Thos...
      • TV Watch: "Maron" revisited, following an absolute...
      • How Buck McKeon's Mormonism Played Right Into The ...
      • Republicans Led By John Kline (R-MN) Voted Down El...
      • Arizona Republican Jim Kolbe Is Getting Gay-Marrie...
      • Sunday Classics (double) preview: Enter the bird-c...
      • Justice Stevens's grandkids may not care, but he h...
      • Tea Party Crackpots Shouldn't Be Investigated?
      • Corrupt House Agriculture Committee Slashes Food S...
      • Boehnercare Passes The House
      • Paul Ryan Gets A Letter From A Constituent
      • Rob Portman Has A Shovel And He Keeps Digging That...
      • This Post Is Only For Californians-- Unless You Al...
      • Water, Water Everywhere-- And An Obstructionist Se...
      • Mommy, How Did The Tea Party Start?
      • Fired, shmired -- isn't it time we started having ...
      • What Makes A Democrat Turn Bad When He Gets To Con...
      • New Dems Vs Actual Democrats-- Chained CPI
      • Jay Stamper on Lindsey Graham: "There Is Something...
      • Why Is Buck McKeon Gung-ho To Allow Insurance Comp...
      • A public discussion nudged by Joe Sestak would lik...
      • Is Sabotage A Crime Punishable By Something or Other?
      • McConnell Upset By Working Class Guy In The Senato...
      • What If The DCCC Had A Special Category Of Targets...
      • Sometimes cartoonists tackle seemingly trivial sub...
      • The DCCC's Plague Of New Dem Self-Funders... And W...
      • Will Hanabusa's Political Cowardice on LGBT Issues...
      • If The Oceans Rise 40 Meters, Will Your House Be U...
      • The DCCC's Tighty Whities
      • How Would You Feel If Someone Wrote, "We Need Fewe...
      • Whether in Israel or America, is it time to fight ...
      • More On Vetting Candidates
      • Sunday Classics: What comes after Mozart's and Bee...
      • When Former Guatemala President Efrain RĂ­os Montt ...
      • Remember How Much We Hated Bush's Job-Destroying "...
    • ►  April (148)
    • ►  March (14)
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Ashish Chaturvedi
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